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The capital market · · 6 min read

Investment tips on social media: what a one-minute video leaves out

Investment tips on social media: why the feed mostly shows who succeeded, what a referral link changes, and how to fill in what a one-minute video leaves out.

Ten at night, the house quiet, and you're scrolling. A one-minute video stops you. Someone calm and likeable, talking at eye level. They explain how they invest, what worked for them, and why it is simpler than you thought. All of it sounds reasonable. And at the end, a small link: "for anyone who wants to start".

You're left with two feelings. Curiosity, because maybe it really is that simple. And a small unease, because "everyone there knows something we don't". From there, the road forks. One way: act on the video, because the creator sounds trustworthy and there is no reason to doubt them. The other: decide that all money content online is noise, ignore it, and feel slightly left behind.

There is a part of you that wants to learn and move forward, and rightly so: there are good explanations online, free and easy to reach. There is also a part that wants a shortcut, and the sense of belonging to a community that gets it. A video like that delivers both in a minute, and there is nothing embarrassing about wanting them.

Survivorship bias: who isn't in the feed

A video can be entirely sincere and still be partial. The problem isn't the creator, and it isn't you. It is structural, in the feed and in the format. Everything you watch has passed through three filters the viewer never sees.

The first filter is who isn't there. The feed shows what gets a reaction, and those who succeeded talk more than those who didn't. Someone who tried the same approach and lost rarely posts a video about it. This is called survivorship bias, and research knows it well: Stephen Brown, William Goetzmann, Roger Ibbotson and Stephen Ross showed in 1992, in the Review of Financial Studies, how studies that look only at funds still in existence get a skewed picture, because the funds that closed have dropped out of the data. A feed works the same way, only with people.

Referral links and promo codes: what the interest is

The second filter is interest. A creator can have a perfectly legitimate interest in what you do next: a referral link that pays them when you sign up, a promo code, a sponsorship from a financial company. It is a familiar business model, many creators make a living from it, and saying so is not an accusation. It is simply part of the picture, and worth knowing before you decide.

How to spot it: look in the video description or the pinned comment for words such as "collaboration", "sponsored" or "affiliate link", or a code carrying the creator's name. In Israel, investment advice and investment marketing are regulated by a 1995 law on investment advice, investment marketing and portfolio management (in Hebrew, חוק הסדרת העיסוק בייעוץ השקעות, בשיווק השקעות ובניהול תיקי השקעות, התשנ"ה-1995). What the Israel Securities Authority publishes for the public on the subject, and its register of licence holders, can be checked on the Authority's website.

What doesn't fit into a minute

The third filter is the format itself. A minute has no room for everything that differs from one person to the next, which is exactly what matters:

  • Fees. Management fees, buying and selling commissions, custody fees. A small percentage can be a large sum in shekels over the years, as the guide to management fees shows.
  • Tax. What is taxed, when and at what rate, for the speaker and for you, which are not necessarily the same.
  • Your horizon and situation. The creator has their own income, age, family and horizon. The video doesn't know whether you have an emergency fund, a mortgage, or a need for the money in two years.

Learning from the feed, not acting from the scroll

The goal: to spot the three filters in any investment video, and to fill in, in writing, what it didn't say. Without suspecting every creator, and without giving up on learning online. What people describe after doing this with a few videos is acting less from the feed and learning more from it. What you do with an idea is your decision.

From saving to talking it over: completing the picture

Stage 1: save instead of act

When a video makes you want to act, save it. That's all. The first move is saving, not signing up. The idea won't run away, and when you come back to it you'll be somewhere else: not at ten at night, not mid-scroll, and with a sheet of paper beside you.

Stage 2: four lines beside every idea

What the video didn't say

0 of 4 done

Four lines, written down. If one stays empty, that doesn't make the idea bad. It means you don't yet know enough to decide, which is useful information in itself.

Stage 3: two people

Before any action, talk the idea over with your partner, or with someone who didn't watch the video. Someone who wasn't inside that minute asks different questions. If those conversations aren't a habit yet, the guide to a shared couple's budget shows what they look like.

In AlphaHome: in a shared household both partners see the same picture, so a conversation about an idea from the feed rests on the same numbers. On the dashboard, the "Free to spend until the end of the month" figure shows what is left this month after fixed charges and what has been recorded, which is the first question a video never asks: where the money for this idea was supposed to come from.

And if a video promises a return, talks about an "opportunity that ends today" or pushes you for time, that is a different subject with its own article.

When you have already acted on one

"We acted on a video, and only found out about the fees afterwards." You did exactly what the format invited: a minute, a link, a tap. Today: fill in the four lines after the fact, for what is already done. What people in this situation describe is not adding money until the lines are filled; the decision is yours. Next time: save the video instead of acting on it, and come back with the lines.

"We felt stupid for not noticing a referral link." What led you was trust, and that is a good trait, not a weakness. Today: look for the disclosure in the video's description. Sometimes it is there, only small. Next time: "what does the creator get if we act?" is the first question, before "does this sound reasonable?"

The feed fills up with more and more videos on the same topic. The feed learned what stopped you, and it serves more of it. That doesn't make the subject more important. Today: save one video and scroll on. Next time: a set time for learning, one evening a week for example, instead of learning from the scroll.

Learning from everyone, completing it yourselves

Whoever learns only from the feed learns exactly what the feed chose to show. Whoever keeps four lines beside every idea learns from everyone and decides for themselves. And the feeling of being behind turns out to be something else: you read the feed differently now. The video is where the conversation starts, not where it ends.

This week: pick one investment video you saved and write the four lines beside it: which fees it didn't mention, what tax applies, what horizon it assumed, and whether it carries a referral link or code, and if so, whether that is disclosed openly.

Do one thing this week

Open AlphaHome, record this month's income and fixed charges, and see how much is really free to spend. Everything in this article starts from that number.